Please Note:-) That the Forecasts issued are not Nationwide, Only Torbay and surrounding area’s!!!
Key Abbreviation’s in Forecast
No Warnings Issued For Torbay!!!
Daily Local Weather Forecast Updates!!!
October Wednesday 28th :- Conditions today, sunny spells and showers, some of the showers could be heavy and thundery with hail, wind moderate to fresh W/SW, Temp 11/9ºC evening a drier interlude before more possible outbreaks of showery rain late!!!
(Last weeks 6 day forecast was 91% Correct) Next Weeks Forecast Updated Oct 24th
(Snow Watch) Oct 28th Chances of Snow Within the Next 14 Days 0%
UPCOMING WEATHER INFO-: A very unsettled spell of weather for the coming week!! Again it is going to be very critical on how the Low pressure systems track, they is going to be a lot of rain about, but it is the winds that could become a concern!! If the Low pressure systems track further North, then less strength in the winds. So this is going to be another eyeball scenario, and of course the timing!!! Don’t be surprised for weather warnings being issued. Oh yes and we do get a frontal band of heavy rain from ex Hurricane Epsilon Tuesday! Note :- Don’t forget your clocks/watches goes 1 hour backwards early Sunday Morning. Ok lets put next weeks forecast in a more daily detail below!!!
Next Weeks Forecast Starting Sunday Oct 24th
Sunday A lot a cloud about at times that will give showers, some of which could be heavy thundery with hail, sunny spells will be about, wind light to moderate locally fresh SW, Temp 12/7ºC evening possible heavy thundery showers still roaming about!!!
Monday A day of sunny spells and showers, some of which could be heavy and thundery with hail, these look to become less frequent as the day goes, wind light to moderate locally fresh SW/W, Temp 12/8ºC evening well scattered showers.
Tuesday A cloudy and rainy start, some of the rain heavy, this looks to clear to showers after midday with sunny intervals, wind moderate to fresh SW/W, Temp 13/8ºC evening blustery showers, some of which could be heavy and thundery with hail!!
*Wednesday A blustery day with showers and sunny intervals, showers possibly heavy in places, wind moderate to fresh locally strong SW/W, Temp 11/12ºC evening blustery showers continue!!!
*Thursday A cloudy start with heavy rain, this looks to clear for a time before more heavy rain moves in later, some sunny intervals expected during the brief dry spell, wind fresh to strong locally Gale force SW, Temp 15/13ºC evening Heavy rain!!!
*Friday A cloudy start with heavy rain, this possibly turning showery before clearing late afternoon with some late sunny intervals, wind moderate fresh SW, Temp 14/14ºC evening scattered showers!!!
Confidence 90%. It is looking unsettled, but it is something you will be having to keep an eye on, is the low pressure systems, and how close they get to us in wind strength terms!!! and the other is the possible amount of rain that looks to fall upon us? The only good thing about these conditions, it will be mild or even very mild. Looking ahead, “Just possible” if the model runs output stays as it is!!! we could get a respite, but it looks colder? Whatever the weather you have a good week.
News:- Weather Forecasts are still going to be on the average model runs as we are still lacking in (GDAS) data. As the Hurricane season is now nearing it’s end, we have ex Hurricane Epsilon in mid Atlantic, this one could get caught up in the northern JS? We also have Hurricane Delta in the Mexican Gulf and these move North as these moves north then drifts eastwards, and we may see a band of heavy rains from this systems!.
RAINFALL amounts recorded in different areas can be vastly different, as the case in showers, so the totals I show, are recorded in my location, this will give a rough idea for your area in the Bay!!!
2020 April Total 51 mm Total Year to date 406 mm
2020 May Total 10 mm Total Year to Date 416 mm
2020 June Total 99 mm Total Year to Date 515 mm
2020 July Total 23 mm Total year to Date 538 mm
2020 August Total 113 mm Total year to Date 651mm
2020 Sept Total 25mm Total year to Date 676mm
(The Winter Solstice December 21st, officially the first day of Winter)
Long Range Weather Forecasts (Winter Forecast Being Generated)
Apr 2020 :- Issued February 29th. Confidence 60%. Correctness for the month 85%
May 2020 :- Issued April 18th. Confidence 70% Correctness for the month 65%
June :- Issued May 23rd.Confidence 30%. Correctness for the month 65%
July :- Issued June 13th. Confidence 70%. Correctness for the month 85%
Aug :- Issued June 13th. Confidence 85%. Correctness for the month 100%
Sept :-Issued Aug 3rd.Confidence 70%. Correctness so far for the month 77%.
Oct :- Looks to be an unstable month with up and down temperatures as Low pressure systems rattle in of the Atlantic, there will be some brief settled spells as the Azores’ High sends in a ridge or two. But as model runs at the moment it looks to be a battle on from the Northerlies and Southerlies which of could give some very mild conditions, but when the switch comes from the northerlies, much cooler conditions with possible night mist/fog and even frost!!! Also the mist/fog could be an issue during the milder interludes. Can not rule out the influence of ex Tropical systems on the outcome of this run!!! Summary Rainfall average to slightly above, Temperature average to slightly above!!! Issued Sept 12th. Confidence 60%. Correctness so far for the month 55%
Nov :– A mixed month, as model runs put it!!! with more in the way of drier interludes with mist/fog and frost becoming an issue!!! as we head in to the second half of the final month of the meteorological Autumn the Atlantic starts to have a go sending in it’s Lows, in the mean time the Siberian High tries to block this happening and introduce some much colder conditions that could turn any rain in to Snow or icy conditions, so the the battle commences!!! Summary Rainfall below average, Temperatures below average. Issued Oct 3rd. Confidence 50% Correctness so far for the month 0%
Full moon Oct 31st
Forecast Issued Oct 24th
Summary for the Week
A very unsettled week ahead, but it will remain mild or very mild.