Please Note:-) That the Forecasts issued are not Nationwide, Only Torbay and surrounding area’s!!!
Key Abbreviation’s in Forecast
No Warnings Issued For Torbay!!!
It was a Great Day.
(Summer Equinox September 23rd When Summer officially ends Autumn begins)
Forecast Issued July 13th (Last weeks 6 day forecast was 95% Correct)
Another good week, albeit the humidity was high, as well as the pollen count. But i think we are in for a change next week as the Azores’ high relaxes a bit and possibly allow some frontal systems through to our air space. Oh yes and it’s Cherry pie fayre day to day hope to see a lot of you there. Anyway yup it does look like the Atlantic is going to have a play this coming week as the main holiday break comes in for the Children!!! But as you have guessed, model runs say this, but what will the Azores’ high do? I will do an average on all the model runs throughout the week and put it in to your daily possibilities!!! Ok let go. Sunday cloudy at times with the possibility of showers in places, which could be heavy, sunny periods, wind light to moderate variable (sea breeze), Temp 21/14ºC evening any showers will clear!!! Monday sunny periods as cloud increases which could possibly give an isolated shower, wind light variable or (sea breeze), Temp 21/13ºC evening dry. Tuesday sunny periods, as again possible cloud increase that could give an isolated heavy shower, wind light W, or (sea breeze), Temp 21/13ºC evening dry. Wednesday sunny start, but cloud increase may give an isolated shower, which could be heavy, wind light to moderate W/SW, Temp 21/15ºc evening more cloud increase may give some patchy drizzle in places!!!. *Thursday sunny periods but cloud increase will possibly give an isolated heavy thundery shower, wind light to moderate W/SW, Temp 21/16ºC evening possible some patchy drizzle in places. *Friday some sunny periods, but cloud quickly increasing with possible rain, some of which could be very heavy and possibly thundery, wind light to moderate locally fresh SW, Temp 20/16ºC evening drier with the odd isolated shower. Confidence 80%. Thursday/Friday is where the timing may be out, as the models suggest an active Low heads in to our air space, that could bring some very heavy rain or even thunderstorms!!! will issue a warning if the model runs continue to show this. Looking ahead a mixture of some humid, thundery showers, then cooler temperatures, Hey just wait till Mother Nature sorts it? Whatever the weather you have a good week.
If you would like to message me, please go on the Get In Touch page. Forecast issued July 13th
Long Range Weather Forecasts (Autumn Forecast Being Generated)
Jan 2019:- Issued Nov 24th 2018 Confidence 45% Correctness for the month was 5%
Feb 2019:- Issued Dec 8th 2018 Confidence 65% Correctness for the month was 5%
Apr 2019:- Issued Mar 23rd 2019 Confidence 70% Correctness for the Month was 65%
May 2019:- Issued Mar 23rd 2019 Confidence 50% Correctness for the the Month 85%
Jun 2019:- Issued May 21st 2019 Confidence 60%. Correctness for the Month 87%
Jul 2019 :- Model runs at this time give a good start to the month with plenty of sunshine, but Low pressure to the South always present will send up thundery outbreaks with some very warm & humid conditions in the second week, as these systems pass over it will become fresher for a time before repeating the same conditions as the month started, these conditions looks to alternate through the month. Summary, temperatures average to above, rainfall average to above where Thunderstorms drop there rain/hail. Note that any ex tropical storms/hurricanes could put this info right out of the window!!! Issued June 15th 2019 Confidence 55%. Correctness for the month so far 50%
Aug 2019 :- The final month of Summer (meteorological season) Model runs are a bit in turmoil as for some very humid conditions with plenty of thunderstorms about, but again some places could escape these, we also have the Atlantic firing up with some deep lows, that could bring some windier conditions, this looks set to be the conditions throughout the rest of the month. No long settled spell expected. Summary Temperature average or slightly above!!! Rainfall average to above average where thunderstorms breakout!!! Note that any ex tropical storms/hurricanes could put this info right out of the window!!! Issued June 22nd 2019 Confidence 60%.
Full Moon July 16th
Forecast Issued July 13th
Summary For the Week, a warm week with some sunshine, but maybe some showers in places, and possibly a potential soaking late Thursday/Friday?