Local Weather2021-07-26T07:21:50+00:00

Please Note:-) That the Forecasts issued are not Nationwide, Only Torbay and surrounding area’s!!!

Key Abbreviation’s in Forecast

No Warnings Issued For Torbay!!!

Daily Local Weather Forecast Updates!!! 

July Monday 26th Conditions today, a dry and sunny start, but cloud will tend to increase and possibly tower that may give an isolated heavy shower, possibly with hail and thunder, not all places will see them, wind light to moderate SW, Temp 21/16ºC evening more cloud increase with possible rain late, and this could become heavy and thundery!!!

(Last weeks 6 day forecast was 90% Correct) Next Weeks Forecast Updated July 24th

(Snow Watch) Resumes 2021 Oct 1st  Chances of Snow Within the Next 14 Days 0% 

If you would like to make any comments/ changes Contact me at mickylearjet@aol.com

UPCOMING WEATHER INFO-: Looking to be on the cool side for most of the week with showers or longer periods of rain, some of which could be in the form of thunderstorms, but of course there will be some sunny spells mixed in as well. More News info below. Ok lets put next weeks forecast into more detail below!!!

Next Weeks Forecast Starting Sunday July 25th            

Sunday A lot of cloud about, but not enough to block out the sun, as there will be spells of sunshine, but this may help to brew some heavy showers in places, and these possibly thundery, wind light to moderate variable or (sea breeze), Temp 21/14ºC evening can not rule out any showers that may still be about, becoming generally dry with possible mist/fog patches developing in place!!!

Monday A dry start with sunny spells, but possible cloud increase and tower may give some heavy showers possibly thundery, wind light to moderate SW, or (sea breeze), Temp 21/15ºC evening well scattered showers continues !!!

Tuesday A day of sunny spells and showers, some of the showers could be heavy and thundery before clearing later, wind light to moderate W/NW, Temp 21/16ºC evening scattered showers!!!

Wednesday A lot of cloud about limiting any sunny spells, as with the cloudy conditions, possible heavy thundery showers or longer spells of rain in places, wind moderate to fresh W/NW, Temp 18/16ºC evening rain or showers continues!!!

*Thursday A blustery day with sunny spells and showers, some of the showers possibly heavy and thundery, wind moderate to fresh locally strong, W/SW, Temp 18/13ºC evening any showers clearing to leave a dry night!!!

*Friday A dry start with sunny periods, but cloud soon increasing and tower will possibly give heavy thundery showers in places, wind light to moderate W, Temp 19/15ºC evening any heavy thundery showers will become more scattered!!!

Confidence 80%. It’s another one of those weeks where this time it’s not the cloud, but where will the showers be, and the thunderstorms? So it’s eyes up to beware there could be a heavy thundery shower brewing just down the road. The Low pressure system that will be giving us a showery week will be stationed to the N/NE of us, and it will be sending frontal systems, troughs. And it’s where these troughs go as you have upper and lower winds. Thunderstorms will be threat all in the upcoming week!!! It will feel humid at times even though the Temperatures won’t be as high of recently!!! Looking ahead on current Model runs just possible the Azores’ High will ridge up and take the Polar air northwards for a fine settled spell? Whatever the weather you have a good week.

News:- (July 24th  2021)  The JS now running southwards allowing the Polar air to return and open up the gates for the Atlantic to send in Low pressure/ and Troughs through in to our air space. And as the sun has still got a lot of strength, so this is a good heating for convection helping the Cumulus clouds to tower. So some possible days of torrential downpours and even thunderstorms. On current model runs this Polar air looks to be with us for at least 7 days. We had been very lucky once again Friday night as a line of thunderstorms by passed the Bay going towards Lyme Bay, there had been a lot of torrential rains within this band!!! Now is the Time that we will have to take any model runs causally as Tropical Storms/Hurricanes start to interact, and these can put out forecasts quite a bit!!! unless you are eyeballing. Just a reminder the PV lives in the Stratosphere, and the JS in the Troposphere.

RAINFALL amounts recorded in different areas can be vastly different, as the case in showers, so the totals I show, are recorded in my location, this will give a rough idea for your area in the Bay!!!

2020 July Total 23 mm Total year to Date 538 mm

2020 August Total 113 mm Total year to Date 651mm

2020 Sept Total 25mm Total year to Date 676mm

2020 Oct Total 118mm Total year to Date 794mm

2020 Nov Total 119mm Total Year to Date 913mm

2020 Dec Total 170mm Total for the Year 2020 1083mm

2021 Jan Total 138.6mm Total Year to Date 138.6mm

2021 Feb Total 73.4mm Total Year to Date 212.0mm

2021 Mar Total 29.2mm Total Year to Date 241.2mm

2021 Apr Total 13 .5mm Total Year to Date 254.7mm

2021 May Total 150.9mm Total Year to Date 450.6mm

2021 June Total 76.2mm Total Year to Date 526.8mm

(The Autumn Equinox  September Wednesday 22nd 2021) Summer ends!!!

Long Range Weather Forecasts (Autumn Forecast being Generated)

Sept :-Issued Aug 3rd.Confidence 70%. Correctness  for the month 77%. 2020

Oct :- Issued Sept 12th.  Confidence 60%. Correctness for the month 75% 2020

Nov :-Issued Oct 3rd. Confidence 50% Correctness for the month 55% 2020

Dec :-Issued Nov 21st. Confidence 75%. Correctness  for the month 85% 2020

Jan :-Issued Dec 12th. Confidence 55%. Correctness for the month 90% 2021

Feb :-Issued Jan 9th. Confidence 50%. Correctness  for the month 60% 2021

Mar :-Issued Feb 13th. Confidence 65%. Correctness  for the month 75% 2021

Apr :-Issued March 20th. Confidence 45% Correctness  for the Month 50% 2021

May :-Issued April 17th. Confidence 60% Correctness for the Month 65% 2021

Jun :-Issued May 22nd. Confidence 60% Correctness for the Month 70% 2021

Jul :- It has been a bouncy ride on the model outputs, but here it is for July, it looks the same as what we have been having for June, well at least for the first part of July, Low pressure from the S/SW introducing heavy thundery showers or longer periods of rain, but yes some places may miss all of that and have a continuous dry spell!!! going in to the second part of the month, much the same. Summary, some short lived very warm humid plumes associated  with heavy showers or thunderstorms and of course drier and fresher interludes. Rainfall average to slightly below, but where thunderstorms develop it could be above the average, Temperatures average to slightly below!!! Issued June 26th. Confidence 80% Correctness so far for the Month 45%

Aug :- The final month of the meteorological Summer, and what’s it going to give us? An unsettled start with periods of rain/showers some of which could be thundery, the Azores’ High looks to ridge up to give a settled spell before a very warm plume from the South develops a Low to the SW which possibly could give some very humid and thundery conditions, and this looks to be the case throughout the rest of the month, interspersed with some cooling at times on current model runs. Summary Rainfall average to above where any thunderstorms drop their load, Temperatures average to slightly above. Issued July 24th. Confidence 80% Correctness so far for the Month 0%

Last Moon Quarter July 31st

                                 

Forecast Issued July 24th          

Summary for the Week

A week of heavy thundery showers or thunderstorms, temperatures lower then recently but still feeling humid at times with sunny spells. Showers and Thunderstorms will be a hit & miss Scenario!!!