Please Note:-) That the Forecasts issued are not Nationwide, Only Torbay and surrounding area’s!!!
Key Abbreviation’s in Forecast
No Warnings Issued For Torbay!!!
(Winter Solstice December 22nd Autumn Officially ends Winter begins)
Forecast Issued Nov 16th (Last weeks 6 day forecast was 90% Correct)
The first official reported snow on the Moors with a dusting on Exmoor, and 2″ on Okehampton (as forecast). But I think we got away with the torrential rain that looked to be around for at least a few hours, but it lasted for about an hour in sporadic form!!! For next week, model runs have been giving some interesting outputs!!! It did look bad for the middle of the week (in rain form) but now it doesn’t look as torrential!!! but one thing you will notice, it will become milder from midweek as that showery rain/rain arrives. Ok lets put this into more of the daily detail. Sunday generally a cloudy day with some brighter interludes, but there will be some showers about, but some places may not get them!!!, wind light and variable, Temp 8/5ºC evening possible mist/fog developing in places, also can not rule out any drizzly showers. *Monday another day with cloudy conditions with some sunny intervals, can not rule out any light showers, wind light to moderate N/NE, Temp 8/2ºC evening dry with possible mist/fog patches developing as well as local frost in places!!! *Tuesday some cloudy conditions at times allowing some sunny periods, but cloud in places could be thick enough for a light shower, wintry over hillier areas!!!, wind light to moderate N/NE, Temp 6/1ºC evening dry with possible mist/fog and frost developing in places, but later more cloud increase later heralding approaching rain!!! *Wednesday cloud increasing throughout the day giving showers or longer periods of rain, possibly heavy in places, some sunny periods expected, wind light to moderate E/SE/S, Temp 10/7ºC evening possible heavy outbreaks of rain. *Thursday generally a cloudy day with showers or longer spells of rain, some of which could be heavy, just possible some glimpses of the sun, wind moderate to fresh SE/E, Temp 9/6ºC evening heavy showers or longer spells of rain continuing. *Friday cloudy with heavy or longer spells of rain, this possibly clearing later to give late sunny intervals, wind light to moderate variable, Temp 8/6ºC evening heavy rain/showers clearing later, just possible temperatures could fall much lower to give frost and ice!!!. Confidence 75%. The models are giving Low pressure centres to be centred over our air space as done last week, so any windy days forecast could be light!!! so it will be best to keep up to date with daily local weather forecasts!!! As the bay could be very rough with some good waves!!! Looking ahead Changeable!!! Whatever the weather you have a good week. Forecast issued Nov 16th
Daily Local Weather Forecast Updates!!!When I can?
Saturday -: A lot of cloud about at times that just may give a shower in places, some sunny intervals expected, wind light N/NE, Temp 7/4ºC evening just possible of an isolated shower, otherwise where cloud cover does clear a local frost could develop.
Long Range Weather Forecasts (Winter Forecast Being Generated)
Jun 2019:- Issued May 21st 2019 Confidence 60%. Correctness for the Month 87%
Jul 2019 :- Issued June 15th 2019 Confidence 55%. Correctness for the Month 90%
Aug 2019 :- Issued June 22nd 2019 Confidence 60%. Correctness for the Month 90%
Sept 2019 :- Issued August 24th 2019 Confidence 55%. Correctness for the Month 87%
Oct 2019 :- Issued September 14th 2019 Confidence 60% Correctness for the Month 62%
Nov 2019 :- On current model runs, we could be seeing some rather cold interludes with possible hill snow and night frosts, but these will be interrupted by some deep Low pressure systems entering our air space. And this looks to be the case throughout the final month of the meteorological Autumn. Rainfall average to slightly above, Temperature average to slightly below. Issued September 14th Confidence 70% Correctness so far for the Month 50%
Dec 2019 :- Model runs at this time are showing some impressive cold snaps!!! with some very cold temperatures then we are used to down here, with plenty of visits from Mr Frost, and snow could be a regular feature? But this has a lot to do with how the milder air moves in on the colder air!!! (Warmer air moves over the Top of Cold Air) But again some impressive low pressure systems on the cards whatever they bring!!! also the breaks in between these with High pressure, and these will help with Mr frost visiting!!! Summary Rainfall average, Temperature Below average. Issued October 19th Confidence 45%
Jan 2020 :-
Feb 2020 :-
Last Moon Quarter Nov 19th
Forecast Issued Nov 16th
Summary For the Week, another generally unsettled week, but possibly becoming a little milder later.