Daily Local Weather Forecast Updates!!!

2025 November Saturday 8th / A dry and sunny start after any early mist/fog patches have cleared, possible some cloud increase later that may produce an isolated shower, wind light W/SW, Temp 14/8/11ºC evening dry with some mist/fog patches developing in places before more cloud increase in the early hours!!! Please Note: that any  showers/thunderstorms forecast, some places could remain dry!!! 

On This Day last Year 2024 November 8th / Overcast with the odd spot of drizzle in the air, wind was a light to moderate E/SE, Temp 13.0ºC

Advance Possible Snow forecast within 14 Days ahead. Nov Sat 8th 2025 /15% 

Forecast BEING updated November? Last week’s forecast was 93% Accurate :- (timing/tracking)  

UPCOMING WEATHER INFO-:  / Well believe or not models are not agreeing on the expected cold spell that GFS had so many runs on this scenario but has changed somewhat over the last two days of runs, but the ECMWF is now going for the cold spell to materialize. But if you remember the saying (they both can’t be right, but they can be both wrong)!!! Ok lets put this down into a more daily detail below!!!  Please Note: I do not change these daily ahead forecasts. This gives you an idea of the possible out comes for that day. That is the reason I do a daily update on top of this page throughout the week. My Tempest is now back up and running so you can if you wish click on the picture and it will take you to my app.

Next Week’s Forecast Starting Sunday November?         

Sunday / A dry start with sunny spells, these becoming hazy as cloud increases heralding an unsettled spell with rain, some of which will be heavy and possibly thundery later, wind moderate to fresh locally strong S/SW, Temp 14/12ºC evening possible a dry interlude before more rain moves over, again this possibly heavy and thundery in places, windy!!!

Monday /Any rain soon breaking to sunny spells and heavy thundery showers, possibly a lengthier spell of thundery rain! wind light to moderate locally fresh SW, Temp 13/9ºC evening generally dry although cannot rule out a isolated shower!!!

Tuesday / A generally dry start with hazy sunny spells as high and low cloud will be increasing, heralding a spell of wet and windy conditions, some of the rain heavy and possibly thundery, wind moderate to fresh locally strong S, Temp 15/13ºC evening showery rain, some of which could be heavy, windy!!!

Wednesday /Generally a cloud y day with limited sunny glimpses, also outbreaks of rain throughout, some of which will be heavy, wind moderate to fresh locally strong/Gale force S/SW, Temp 15/13ºC evening any rain should of cleared to drier conditions although some showers will be about, wind abating swiftly!!!

*Thursday/ 

*Friday / 

Confidence 0%. /  Remember any Showers/Thunderstorms forecasted, some places will not get them and will remain dry. 

PV= Polar Vortex

SSW= Sudden Stratospheric Warming

JS= Jet Stream

News/Tropical Named Storms: November Saturday 8th  Active Major storms at this moment in time!!!/ (1)East China Sea-(0)  East Pacific Ocean-(0)   West Pacific Ocean-(1) Fung-Wong ( Very Strong Typhoon), approximately 613 km from Kayagel Indian Ocean -(0)  South Atlantic Ocean-(0)  Tropical Atlantic-(0)  North Atlantic/UK (0) Model runs are in dispute at the moment! A lot of action going on out there, but it is determining whether the Northern/Eastern  blocking will occur? If this happens a much notable cold air mass will be upon us, especially as we head towards next weekend, or it could go the other way to continue with the very mild conditions we are in? With plenty of rain and wind!!!   Mother nature really letting Humans know about her, and what she can do weather wise, and Tectonic wise.  Over populating the Earth and destroying the vast amounts of forests, and polluting the rivers, seas. Us Humans beware, we are being warned yet again!!!  I have put another website link at the bottom for the Northern lights. Fantastic to watch when you have clear skies that is!!! as well as shooting stars.  People laugh at these weather/eruption events, I would say don’t be fooled, Mother Nature will in one way or another affect you!!! and may even harm you if you do not respect her!!! Earthquakes & Volcanos  are always on the go. Here is a link to the world live Volcano cams. (1988) afarTV – YouTube

The Northern lights: (plus you can use the cams for wild life places in the world!!!Northern Lights Live Cam – watch the Aurora Borealis | Explore.org

World Earthquakes: Live Earthquake Monitoring | GlobalQuake

 Just a reminder the PV resides in the Stratosphere, and the JS in the Troposphere.

PV= Polar vortex, JS= Jet Stream, SSW= Sudden Stratosphere Warming.

RAINFALL amounts recorded in different areas can be vastly different, as the case in showers, so the totals I show, are recorded in my location, this will give a rough idea for your area in the Bay!!!

2020 Dec Total 170mm Total for the Year 1083mm

2021 Dec Total 101mm Total for the Year 973.1mm

2022 Dec Total 154mm Total Year to Date 887.7mm

2023 Dec Total 185.5mm Total Year to Date 1301.5mm

2024 Dec Total 43mm Total Year to Date 1259mm

2024 Oct Total 151mm Total Year to Date 1095mm

2024 Nov Total 120mm Total Year to Date 1216mm

2024 Dec Total 43mm Total Year to Date 1259mm

2025 Jan Total 180mm Total Year to Date 180mm

2025 Feb Total 81mm Total Year to Date 261mm

2025 Mar Total 6.5mm Total Year to Date 267.5mm

2025 Apr Total 91.5 Total Year to Date 359.0mm

2025 May Total 30mm Total Year to Date 389.0mm

2025 Jun Total 53mm Total Year to Date 442.0mm

2025 Jul Total 26mm Total Year to Date 468mm

2025 Aug Total 73mm Total Year to Date 541mm

2025 Sept Total 101mm Total Year to Date 642mm

2025 Oct Total 77mm Total Year to Date 719mm

(The Winter Solstice Dec 21st) Winter Starts, Autumn ends. 

Long Range Weather Forecasts (Winter Forecast being Generated)

Nov: An unsettled start to the month with the Atlantic in full control with Low pressure systems and secondary lows all potentially could be named storms as the Polar & Tropical air masses collide intensifying the systems up to mid month!!! Going in to the second part possibly the Azores high and European high  shake hands bringing a spell of drier and colder conditions, with the first of frosts appearing, on current model runs, there is still the potential for the Atlantic to send in more wild lows pressure systems!!! Summary Rainfall average, Temperature average!!! Tropical storms are still possible, and we have one live one at the moment which is Melissa which is a tropical storm and possibly getting to cat 4 hurricane over Cuba! This of course can wipe out this forecast? Confidence 45% correctness for the month so far 15%. Issued Oct 25th 2025.

Dec:/

Jan:/

Feb:/

Oct: Issued Sept 24th Confidence 45% Correctness for the month  65%. 2024. 

Nov: Issued Oct 25th Confidence 45% Correctness for the Month 65% 2024.

Dec: Issued Nov 29th Confidence 40% Correctness for the month  45%.  2024.

Jan: Issued Dec 21st Confidence 35% correctness for the month  55%.   2025.

Feb: Issued Jan 25th Confidence 45% correctness for the month 35%.  2025

Mar: Issued Feb 22nd Confidence 25% correctness for the month 65%. 2025

Apr: Issued Mar 22nd Confidence 40% correctness for the month 75%. 2025

May: Issued April 26th Confidence 65% correctness for the month 55%.  2025.

Jun: Issued May 25th Confidence 75% correctness for the month  75%.  2025.

Jul: Issued June 23rd Confidence 65% correctness for the month 85%. 2025.

Aug: Issued July 26th Confidence 70% correctness for the month 70%. 2025

Sept: Issued Aug 30th Confidence 65% correctness for the month  55%. 2025  

Oct:  Issued Sept 20th Confidence 65% correctness for the month  50%. 2025.