Daily Local Weather Forecast Updates!!!

2026 October Tuesday 13th /Any rain should of cleared to drier and sunnier conditions, with just the off chance of a shower, wind light to moderate W, Temp 19/9ºC evening dry with some possible mist/fog patches developing in places!!! Please Note: That any  showers/thunderstorms forecast, some places could remain dry!!! Please Note: That they will be no week ahead possible forecast due to other piorities. Please conserve Water!!!

(Early mornings only) On This Day last Year 2025 October 13th /Overcast with some showery drizzle, wind was a light E/NE, Temp 13.7ºC

Advance Possible Snow forecast This resumes Nov 1st 2026 within 14 Days ahead. /0% 

Forecast updated 2026 October Saturday 10th Last week’s forecast was 93% Accurate :- (timing/tracking)  

UPCOMING WEATHER INFO-:  / Well as it has been all week with the model runs, discrepencies in outputs, especially with the high pressure cells! But for here in Torbay it looks to be near misses if the High pressure cells do what the GFS is doing. The PV is forming nicely but it is doing some early shifting. The JS is at strength but gets diverted NE wards later in the week as the High forms. The Azores high shakes hands with the European High then ridges  N wards as model runs put it at a 1040mb. Enough of that, lets put this in to a more daily detail below!!! Please Conserve Water!!! I do not change these daily ahead forecasts. This gives you an idea of the possible out comes for that day. That is the reason I do a daily update on top of this page throughout the week. 

Next Week’s Forecast Starting Sunday October 11th 

Sunday /A generally dry day expected with abundance in cloud cover limiting any sunny spells, albeit hazy at times due to high thin cloud (cirrus) but cannot rule out a shower, wind light W/SW and increasing, Temp 16/16ºC evening cloudy with just the possibility of some drizzly showers, becoming breezy!!!  Please Conserve Water!

Monday /A cloudy start with some rain, this could be heavy in places, this looks to clear late afternoon, wind fresh S/SW, Temp 17/15ºC evening generally dry with abundance in cloud at times!!!  Please Conserve Water! 

Tuesday /A dry start with abundance in cloud this could thicken to give some showery rain for a time, this looks to clear to brighter and drier conditions with sunny spells, wind moderate to fresh locally strong SW/W and abating later, Temp 19/11ºC evening dry with possible mist/fog patches developing in places!!!  Please Conserve Water!

*Wednesday /A dry day expected with sunny spells, albeit hazy due to plenty of high thin cloud, ( you get the meaning) but just possible of more cloud increase later, cannot rule out a shower! wind light to moderate W/SW, Temp 16/13ºC evening dry with more cloud increase!!!  Please Conserve Water!

*Thursday/A cloudy start with some possible rain/drizzly showers, some possible sunny spells about, wind moderate to fresh locally strong SW and abating later to a W/NW, Temp 18/10ºC evening any rain/showers should of cleared to drier conditions!!! Please Conserve Water!

*Friday / A dry day expected with good sunny spells as scattered cloud will be about, wind light to moderate N/NW, Temp 16/8ºC evening dry. Please Conserve Water!

Confidence 85%. /Another changeable week with some rain/showers with temperature fluctuations. But as it has been for many months, tracking and timing of any systems can make a big difference for the days ahead!!! Ok what’s the possible outlook? If true, it could be a mainly dry week and it could be feeling much colder than of late? We will see? Whatever the weather you have a great week!!!  Please Conserve Water!!! Remember any Showers/Thunderstorms forecasted, some places will not get them and will remain dry. 

PV= Polar Vortex

SSW= Sudden Stratospheric Warming

JS= Jet Stream

News/Tropical Named Storms: October Saturday 10th  Active Major storms at this moment in time!!!/ (4)East China Sea-(0)  East Pacific Ocean-(2)Rachel (Tropical Storm), approximately 1030 km from san Diego California, Simon (Hurricane – Category 4), approximately 201 km from Manzanillo Mexico. Pacific Ocean– Solomon Sea (0) West Pacific Ocean/Philippine sea-(1)Koguma (Violent Typhoon), approximately 797 km from Saipan Indian Ocean –ARAFURA SEA(0) South Atlantic Ocean-(0) Tropical Atlantic-(1) Isaias (Tropical Rainstorm), approximately 40 km from montgomery alabama North Atlantic/UK (0) Isaias was a cat 3 hurricane but down graded to tropical rainstorm, at this moment in time 11.40am is just leaving Alabama. Simon Cat 4 Hurricane is heading for Mexico, Acaponeta. And Rachel Tropical storm heading towards Los Vegas. Model runs for the UK have been in some disagreement on the positiioning of the high pressure cells that are forecast for next week, as these make a big difference in the tracking of the Atlantic lows that are heading our way!!!. But hopefully will resolve themselfs on the next run?

Around October 12–13, the Southern Taurids will reach an early peak, producing about 5 meteors per hour under ideal conditions. Their hourly rate is modest, but the Taurids are known for slow, bright meteors and occasional fireballs.

The shower remains active for weeks and is better known for its later peak in November, but this October maximum also offers a good chance to spot Taurid meteors. In 2026, it comes just after the New Moon, so moonlight will barely interfere.

  Please try and conserve water!!! Another one subject I have added is if you are a Meteor fanatic then go to the link that is below, it will take you to the Hawaii observatory 14000ft up. Some really good views! providing cloud cover hasn’t ruined it.  Mother nature really letting Humans know about her, and what she can do weather wise, and Tectonic wise.  Over populating the Earth and destroying the vast amounts of forests, and polluting the rivers, seas. Us Humans beware, we are being warned yet again!!!  I have put another website link at the bottom for the Northern lights. Fantastic to watch when you have clear skies that is!!! as well as shooting stars.  People laugh at these weather/eruption events, I would say don’t be fooled, Mother Nature will in one way or another affect you!!! and may even harm you if you do not respect her!!! Earthquakes & Volcanoes  are always on the go. Here is a link to the world live Volcano cams. (1988) afarTV – YouTube.Also this link will take you to the direct camera in Iceland that does different live shots. ???? Live Now: 24/7 Iceland Volcano Watch (Multi-cams)

The Northern lights: (plus you can use the cams for wild life places in the world!!!Northern Lights Live Cam – watch the Aurora Borealis | Explore.org

World Earthquakes: Live Earthquake Monitoring | GlobalQuake

Do you want to see Meteor named showers live. Then this is the best observatory in the world to look at them as we move through space. Best time for this is from 0900am as Hawaii goes in to darkness. The telescope is at a height of 13800 ft. It is a great sight to see. Here is the link. Observatory View Live Camera – Mauna Kea, Hawaii, USA    Enjoy.

 Just a reminder the PV resides in the Stratosphere, and the JS in the Troposphere.

PV= Polar vortex, JS= Jet Stream, SSW= Sudden Stratosphere Warming.

RAINFALL amounts recorded in different areas can be vastly different, as the case in showers, so the totals I show, are recorded in my location, this will give a rough idea for your area in the Bay!!!

2020 Dec Total 170mm Total for the Year 1083mm

2021 Dec Total 101mm Total for the Year 973.1mm

2022 Dec Total 154mm Total Year to Date 887.7mm

2023 Dec Total 185.5mm Total Year to Date 1301.5mm

2024 Dec Total 43mm Total Year to Date 1259mm

2025 Dec Total 174mm Total Year to Date 990mm

2025 Jul Total 26mm Total Year to Date 468mm

2025 Aug Total 73mm Total Year to Date 541mm

2025 Sept Total 101mm Total Year to Date 642mm

2025 Oct Total 77mm Total Year to Date 719mm

2025 Nov Total  97mm Total Year to Date 816mm

2025 Dec Total 174mm Total Year to Date 990mm

2026 Jan Total 229mm Total Year to Date 229mm

2026 Feb Total 186mm Total Year to Date 415mm

2026 Mar Total 32.5mm Total Year to Date 447.5mm

2026 Apr Total 15.5 mm Total Year to Date 463mm

2026 May Total 29mm Total Year to Date 492mm

2026 Jun Total 46mm Total Year to Date 538mm

2026 Jul Total .5mm Total Year to Date 538.5mm

2026 Aug Total 36.5mm Total Year to Date 574.5mm

2026 Sept Total 28mm Total Year to Date 602.5mm

(The Winter Solstice December 21st) Winter Starts, Autumn ends. 

Long Range Weather Forecasts (Autumn forecast being generated)

Oct: On current model outputs it looks for the start of the month that changeable conditions will be in place, with some dry and sunny conditions, albeit hazy due to high thin cloud being plentiful! As High presure looks to dominate nearby or over our air space, one or two windy periods expected as Lows try to move E against the E blocking highs! and it looks to be on the very mild/warm side at times! as for the whole month just possible turning more unsettled with some chances of windy conditions with heavy thundery rains with drier and much cooler conditions. Note that at this moment in time we have two disturbances in the Atlantic that could throw out this expected forecast!!! Confidence 45% correctness for the month so far 15%. Issued September 26th  2026

Nov:

Sept: Issued Aug 30th Confidence 65% correctness for the month  55%. 2025  

Oct:  Issued Sept 20th Confidence 65% correctness for the month  50%. 2025.

Nov: Issued Oct 25th Confidence 65% correctness for the month  55%. 2025.

Dec: Issued Nov 22nd Confidence 35% correctness for the month 65%. 2025.

Jan: Issued Dec 20th Confidence 55% correctness for the month  65%.  2026.

Feb: Issued Jan 31st Confidence 35% correctness for the month  65%. 2026.

Mar: Issued Feb 21st Confidence 55% correctness for the month 55%. 2026.

Apr: Issued Mar 21st Confidence 55% correctness for the month  55%. 2026.

May: Issued Apr 25th Confidence 45% correctness for the month  55%. 2026.

Jun: Issued May 30th Confidence 60% correctness for the month 80%. 2026

Jul: Issued June 27th Confidence 65% correctness for the month 75%. 2026

Aug: Issued July 22nd Confidence 65% correctness for the month  55%. 2026

Sept: Issued August 22nd Confidence 65% correctness for the month 55%. 2026